Trump’s approval with independents sinks below Biden’s, Trump’s post-Jan. 6 | Weekly roundup for July 27, 2025, by G. Elliott Morris

This week in political data: Gallup’s newsy poll; Pew benchmark data; Senate race ratings; Manufacturing prices increase; and AI disrupting news traffic.

Dear readers,

Welcome back to Strength In Numbers. This is your Sunday briefing covering new data on politics and public opinion.

Thanks to everyone who submitted questions for our July poll with Verasight. This month’s survey turned up some interesting insights, and I look forward to reading more suggested topics for August!

Trump hits new record low with independents

The poll I saw circulating most online this week is a new Gallup survey of Trump’s first six months in office. Gallup finds Trump with a 37% approval rating among adults (a new low across all pollsters) and losing ground on all issues.

Strikingly, Gallup finds that just 38% of Americans approve of how Trump is handling immigration, and 37% approve of his job on the economy — the two issues that probably won him the 2024 election. Trump has lost double digits on handling the federal budget and 6 points on trade/tariffs.

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